From Boom to Bust to Business: Why AI’s Hype Cycle Mirrors Blockchain’s

It feels like we’ve been here before. Every time a shiny new technology arrives, we hype it up, pour money in, then watch it stumble when reality doesn’t match the promise. That movie played out with blockchain in 2017—remember all those startups slapping “blockchain” onto their logos and seeing their stock tickers surge overnight? Fast-forward two years, and most of those pilots had quietly vanished.

Generative AI Takes Center Stage

Today, generative AI is front and center. Investors and CEOs are racing to call themselves “AI-first,” while the rest of us brace for the next round of breathless headlines. And yet, beneath the buzz lies a familiar pattern: excitement peaks, the inevitable hiccups arrive, then the technology finds a quieter, more useful home.

Early Missteps and False Starts

We’ve already seen a few missteps. One media outlet boasted about AI-written quizzes—its shares doubled—but within months they folded when the results just weren’t reliable. A bank swapped hundreds of call-center staff for chatbots, only to rehire humans when complaints skyrocketed. Even respected tech blogs rushed out AI-spun articles, then scrambled to correct errors when facts didn’t check out.

From Hype to Practical Use

None of this means AI is a dead end. It simply shows the danger of leaping before you look. Companies that declare “transformative” change without a clear roadmap often end up backtracking. Novelty is exciting; strategy and precise goals deliver real value.

Lessons from Blockchain’s Evolution

Think back to blockchain again: it didn’t disappear—it scaled down to niche uses like tokenizing real-estate shares or streamlining cross-border settlements. AI will follow the same arc. Once the hype fades, smart teams will zero in on specific problems—customer service glitches, fraud detection, supply-chain bottlenecks—and build small, iterative pilots. They’ll ask, “What problem are we solving?” before declaring “We built an AI solution.”

The Power of Human plus Machine

The sweet spot for AI lies in human-plus-machine collaborations. Writers negotiating fair use, travelers double-checking flight rules, designers using AI for rough drafts—these scenarios show that human judgment is still front and center. AI can boost speed and surface insights, but nuance and ethics still require a person’s touch.

Starting Small with Clear Metrics

If you’re steering an AI initiative, start small. Run a pilot with clear success metrics. Gather feedback, tweak your models, and only then think about scaling. Invest in solid data practices and bring domain experts to the table early. Resist the urge to overpromise—your board will appreciate realistic milestones far more than pie-in-the-sky ambitions.

A Turning Point, Not the End

We’re not at the end of AI’s story—just a turning point. The loudest, flashiest chapter is winding down, making way for a steadier, more practical phase. The real winners will be those who solve actual problems, combining thoughtful planning, human insight and the right dose of technology. In the end, the lasting impact of AI won’t be the flashiest demos, but the everyday improvements it brings to our workflows, our businesses and our lives.

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